With a higher violent crime rate than Chicago, could Phoenix draw Trump’s attention?

President Donald Trump has not floated the possibility of sending
troops into Arizona. But the violent crime rate in Phoenix is higher
than the rate in Chicago, the next city on the president’s list.

The rate of violent crime per capita in Phoenix is high enough to
rank 51st among cities of 100,000 or more. Chicago ranks 108th.
Washington, D.C., is 34th.

Since Aug. 11, Trump has deployed about 2,200 National Guard troops to patrol in the nation’s capital. Chicago is next.

“We’re going in,” he said Tuesday in the Oval Office. “Chicago is a
hellhole right now. Baltimore is a hellhole right now. … I have an
obligation.”

Baltimore ranks fourth among midsize and large U.S. cities, with
1,600 violent crimes per 100,000 residents, though the number of such
crimes dropped 5% last year.

But Democrats opposed to Trump’s deployment of troops and federal
agents say fighting crime doesn’t seem to be his main priority.

“President Trump has used D.C. residents as props in a political play
to showcase his own power,” said D.C.’s non-voting delegate in the U.S.
House, Eleanor Holmes Norton.

At a news conference Wednesday at the Capitol, she and fellow
Democrats from Illinois, Maryland, New York and Washington state accused
Trump of using non-existent lawlessness as a pretext.

“We don’t need Trump’s troops on our streets. What we need and what
our constituents continue to say is that we need an investment in our
neighborhoods,” said Rep. Delia Ramirez of Illinois.

On Thursday, D.C. Attorney General Brian Schwalb filed a federal
lawsuit accusing the Trump administration of violating laws against
military involvement in domestic policing.

The lawsuit also asserts that Trump’s moves have harmed the city’s
economy by scaring away visitors and notes that by law, only Congress –
not the president – has authority over the federal district.

The deployment includes 800 troops from the D.C. National Guard and others from six states with Republican governors.

Those militias have not been federalized, and the local government
hasn’t requested their presence. D.C. argues that means it’s unlawful
for them to operate outside their own states.

“The administration should talk to mayors and ask them, ‘How can we
best support you?’ if you really want to be helpful to cities across
America,” said Rep. Greg Stanton, D-Phoenix, a former mayor of Phoenix.

Trump floated an intervention in New Orleans on Wednesday, which
Louisiana’s Republican governor says he would welcome. He mentioned
Oakland, Calif., as another possibility three weeks ago. California’s
Democratic governor said he’s opposed.

If violent crime is the only criterion – murder, rape, robbery and aggravated assault – Phoenix might well catch Trump’s eye.

Violent crime per capita in Phoenix rose 2% in 2024, according to an analysis of FBI data by Cronkite News.

FBI figures show an 11% drop in Chicago’s rate from 2023 to 2024.

In D.C., violent crime was down nearly 9% in that period.

Phoenix Mayor Kate Gallego, a Democrat, declined to comment on
whether she would welcome a surge of troops and federal law enforcement.

Most of the nation’s Democratic governors have criticized Trump’s
actions, issuing a joint statement last week that called the deployments
“an alarming abuse of power” as well as unnecessary and illegal.

Arizona Gov. Katie Hobbs was one of four Democratic governors who did
not sign on. Her office said she would not comment on a “hypothetical”
possibility of federal intervention. An aide noted that Hobbs expressed
disapproval when Trump sent troops into Los Angeles in June.

Rep. Andy Biggs of Gilbert, who is running for governor in next
year’s GOP primary, has introduced two bills to support Trump’s moves in
Washington.

The Make D.C. Safe Again Act would allow presidential control over
the city’s Metropolitan Police Department during emergencies for up to
180 days, up from the current 30-day limit.

Another proposal from Biggs would eliminate the option of cashless bail in D.C., tracking a Trump priority.

“When our nation’s capital faces lawlessness, violent crime, and
breakdowns in public order, the federal government has a responsibility
and a constitutional duty to act decisively,” Biggs said last week in a
statement announcing the proposals.

Other Arizona Republicans in Congress, including Reps. Eli Crane of
Oro Valley and Abe Hamadeh of Scottsdale, have also expressed support
for Trump’s use of the National Guard in Washington.

Trump says the federal intervention has eliminated crime in D.C.

“It’s now a safe zone,” he told reporters earlier this week. “We have no crime. It’s in such great shape.”

Washington is unique in that Congress has ultimate say over its local
governance, but its 700,000 residents lack voting representation at the
federal level.

D.C. Mayor Muriel Bowser, a Democrat, has credited Trump’s efforts
with reducing crime. Other city officials have denounced her for failing
to push back against the president.

In Illinois, Gov. JB Pritzker and Chicago Mayor Brandon Johnson, both
Democrats, strongly objected to any federal intervention. The White
House has not said when troops would be sent.

On Saturday, Johnson signed an executive order prohibiting Chicago
police from cooperating with military personnel or federal law
enforcement on “any unlawful or unconstitutional actions.”

In June, the president sent 700 Marines and 4,000 California National
Guard members to Los Angeles in response to protests over his
immigration crackdown, over the objections of Gov. Gavin Newsom and
Mayor Karen Bass, both Democrats.

On Tuesday, a federal district court judge ruled that move violated
the Posse Comitatus Act, an 1878 law that prohibits the military from
performing civilian policing functions.

The administration filed an appeal, and Trump called the judge “radical.”

The D.C. attorney general’s lawsuit also cites Posse Comitatus.

“The danger that such an operation poses to individual liberty and democratic rule is self-evident,” the lawsuit says.